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Tre Harris
LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 27.5 at PrizePicks ·
51Signal · over 27.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
PrizePicks 27.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
- vs LA · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 44.5 yds against 27.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 27.5 · Dec 8, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -19| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | PHI | 18 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | KC | 49 over | +21.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 54 over | +26.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | HOU | 8 under | −19.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | 28 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI | 20 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LV | 53 over | +25.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BUF | 76 over | +48.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 60 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN | 16 under | −11.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +11 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
27.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 27.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | vs DEN | 16 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 60 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 76 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs LV | 53 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ARI | 20 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | 28 | over |
| 2025-12-27 | vs HOU | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 54 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 49 | over |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 30 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 12 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 18 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 8 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 23 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 27 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | @ LV | 34 | over |
| 2025-09-05 | vs KC | 11 | under |