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Tucker Kraft
GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 49.5 · median of 11 books ·
57Signal · under 49.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.2 a game recently
- vs DET · ×1.03 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 42.9 yds against 49.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 49.5 · Oct 12, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -93 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | CIN | 43 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | ARI | 58 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-10-26 | PIT | 143 over | +93.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | CAR | 20 under | −29.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN | 65 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NYJ | 15 under | −34.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL | 26 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TB | 42 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI | 64 over | +14.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL | 37 under | −12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 50.5
- betPARX 47.5
- BetRivers 47.5
- Bally Bet 47.5
- BetMGM 48.5
- FanDuel 49.5
- ESPN Bet 49.5
- Hard Rock Bet 49.5
- Fliff 49.5
- PrizePicks 49.5
- Underdog 49.5
- DraftKings 50.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 45.5 to 47.5
- betPARXMoved from 45.5 to 47.5
- BetRiversMoved from 45.5 to 47.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 47.5 to 49.5
- FanDuelMoved from 48.5 to 49.5
- FliffMoved from 46.5 to 49.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 47.5 to 49.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 50.5 to 49.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 47.5 to 50.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 49.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs DAL | 37 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CHI | 64 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ TB | 42 | under |
| 2026-09-24 | vs ATL | 26 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NYJ | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | 65 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 20 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 143 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 58 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 43 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 56 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 29 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 124 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 16 | under |