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Tyler Shough
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 at DraftKings ·
51Signal · under 1.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 39.2 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 2.0 against 1.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYJ | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TEN | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ATL | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 4 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 3 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.59 books, no line disagreementMGM · FD · ESPN · HR · DK · BB · PX2 · BR · FL
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | 3 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ ATL | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ TEN | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CAR | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ MIA | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CAR | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ LA | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ SEA | 0 | under |