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Woody Marks
HOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 53.5 · median of 5 books ·
61Signal · under 53.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 9.7 a game recently
- vs NYG · ×1.09 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 37.2 yds against 53.5 · over 39%, under 61%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 53.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -17 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | KC | 68 over | +14.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | ARI | 30 under | −23.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | LAC | 71 over | +17.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | IND | 48 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BUF | 42 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CIN | 8 under | −45.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | IND | 15 under | −38.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DAL | 22 under | −31.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | TEN | 62 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | JAX | 56 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +11 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
5 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 56.5
- FanDuel 52.5
- PrizePicks 52.5
- Hard Rock Bet 53.5
- Fliff 53.5
- DraftKings 56.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 53.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ JAX | 56 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ TEN | 62 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DAL | 22 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ IND | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CIN | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BUF | 42 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs IND | 48 | under |
| 2025-12-27 | @ LAC | 71 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs ARI | 30 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ KC | 68 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ IND | 64 | over |
| 2025-11-20 | vs BUF | 74 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ TEN | 44 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs JAX | 63 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs DEN | 27 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs SF | 62 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | @ SEA | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BAL | 24 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs TEN | 69 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ JAX | 27 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | vs TB | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ LA | 3 | under |