Zachariah Branch

ATL vs SF · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 1.5 · median of 5 books ·

48Signal · over 1.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance

4 / 5

3 straight over

How the formula reads this game

targets: 2.0 a game recently

Expected receptions: 1.8 against 1.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 20, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -0.5

Each game against 1.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-20	CAR	2 over	+0.5
2026-09-24	GB	1 under	−0.5
2026-10-05	NO	2 over	+0.5
2026-10-11	BAL	2 over	+0.5
2026-10-18	CHI	2 over	+0.5

The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	4 / 5	80% over	+0.3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

5 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 0.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 1.5
2026-10-18	vs CHI	2	over
2026-10-11	vs BAL	2	over
2026-10-05	@ NO	2	over
2026-09-24	@ GB	1	under
2026-09-20	vs CAR	2	over