Austin Hooper

ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 5.5 ·

55Signal · over 5.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

8 / 10

5 straight over

PrizePicks 5.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

targets: 2.0 a game recently
vs TB · ×1.02 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 13.7 yds against 5.5 · over 55%, under 45%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 5.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -5

Each game against 5.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-09	TB	0 under	−5.5
2025-11-23	CIN	39 over	+33.5
2025-12-21	BAL	34 over	+28.5
2025-12-28	NYJ	11 over	+5.5
2026-01-04	MIA	5 under	−0.5
2026-09-20	CAR	20 over	+14.5
2026-09-24	GB	11 over	+5.5
2026-10-05	NO	9 over	+3.5
2026-10-18	CHI	6 over	+0.5
2026-10-25	SF	21 over	+15.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	8 / 10	80% over	+10
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

5.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 5.5
2026-10-25	vs SF	21	over
2026-10-18	vs CHI	6	over
2026-10-05	@ NO	9	over
2026-09-24	@ GB	11	over
2026-09-20	vs CAR	20	over
2026-01-04	vs MIA	5	under
2025-12-28	@ NYJ	11	over
2025-12-21	@ BAL	34	over
2025-11-23	@ CIN	39	over
2025-11-09	@ TB	0	under
2025-11-02	vs ATL	20	over
2025-10-26	vs CLE	38	over
2025-10-19	@ TEN	11	over
2025-10-12	@ NO	5	under
2025-09-28	vs CAR	24	over
2025-09-21	vs PIT	28	over
2025-09-14	@ MIA	38	over
2025-09-07	vs LV	10	over