Antonio Williams

WAS vs LA · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 39.5 ·

55Signal · under 39.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 7

PrizePicks 39.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

targets: 4.7 a game recently → 5.0 this game
WR2 on the depth chart (usually WR3) · ×1.06 targets
vs LA · ×0.99 yds per target
Heavier load · ×1.03 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 39.9 yds against 39.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 39.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026

Worst miss -24 on the under

Each game against 39.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-13	PHI	64 over	+24.5
2026-09-20	DAL	24 under	−15.5
2026-09-27	SEA	15 under	−24.5
2026-10-04	IND	21 under	−18.5
2026-10-11	NYG	31 under	−8.5
2026-10-19	SF	50 over	+10.5
2026-11-01	PHI	54 over	+14.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	4 / 7	57% under	+3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

39.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 39.5
2026-11-01	vs PHI	54	over
2026-10-19	@ SF	50	over
2026-10-11	vs NYG	31	under
2026-10-04	vs IND	21	under
2026-09-27	vs SEA	15	under
2026-09-20	@ DAL	24	under
2026-09-13	@ PHI	64	over