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Ashton Jeanty
LV vs LA · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 49.5 at FanDuel · median 51.5 ·
60%over6 / 10 · last 10
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 16.3 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 52.2 yds against 49.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 49.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -27| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | PHI | 35 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | HOU | 128 over | +78.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYG | 60 over | +10.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | KC | 87 over | +37.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 102 over | +52.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 48 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 56 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 58 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 27 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 22 under | −27.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +13 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
12 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 49.5 · best price FD -113
- FanDuel 49.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- ESPN Bet 49.5 -130 (easiest number)
- Underdog 49.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 50.5 -115
- DraftKings 51.5 -112
- Hard Rock Bet 51.5 -115
- DK Pick6 51.5
- PrizePicks 51.5
- Fliff 52.5 -120
- betPARX 55.5 -112
- BetRivers 55.5 -113
- Bally Bet 55.5 -117
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 52.5 to 50.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 50.5 to 51.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 49.5 to 51.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 48.5 to 51.5
- FliffMoved from 49.5 to 52.5
- Bally BetMoved from 52.5 to 55.5
- betPARXMoved from 52.5 to 55.5
- BetRiversMoved from 52.5 to 55.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 49.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 22 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 58 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 56 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 48 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 102 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs KC | 87 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NYG | 60 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ HOU | 128 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ PHI | 35 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs DEN | 30 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ LAC | 31 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs CLE | 50 | over |
| 2025-11-17 | vs DAL | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-06 | @ DEN | 60 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 42 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ KC | 21 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 75 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 67 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 138 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 63 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 43 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 38 | under |