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Austin Ekeler
WAS vs LA · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 · median of 5 books ·
57Signal · over 1.550% · 3 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 6Cleared the number in 3 of 6 games, 4 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.3 a game recently → 1.4 this game
- RB2 on the depth chart (usually RB3) · ×1.15 targets
Expected receptions: 1.1 against 1.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-07 | NYG | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-09-11 | GB | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | IND | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYG | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | SF | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | PHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 6 | 50% | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.55 books, no line disagreementMGM · DK · FL · HR · FD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-19 | @ SF | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs NYG | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs IND | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | @ GB | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs NYG | 3 | over |