← NFL board3 straight over
Austin Ekeler
WAS vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 22.5 ·
100%over3 / 3 · last 10
3 / 3Cleared the number in 3 of 3 games, 7 without a result
- Stefon Diggs WR is listed Out (hamstring). He had 24% of WAS's targets this season, 7.8 a game over 4.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 5.5 a game recently
- targets: 2.8 a game recently
- vs NYG · ×1.09 yds per carry
Expected rush + rec yards: 42.5 yds against 22.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 22.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Tightest clearance +2| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-07 | NYG | 57 over | +34.5 |
| 2025-09-11 | GB | 24 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | IND | 40 over | +17.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 3 | 100% over | +18 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
22.5Underdog· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs IND | 40 | over |
| 2025-09-11 | @ GB | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs NYG | 57 | over |