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Bo Nix
DEN @ ARI · Sun 4:05 PM ETCompletions · 21.5 at Underdog ·
50%even5 / 10 · last 10
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 31.5 a game recently
Expected completions: 19.0 against 21.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026
Worst miss -7.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | GB | 23 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | JAX | 28 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | KC | 26 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LAC | 14 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | KC | 17 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | JAX | 22 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA | 17 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SF | 25 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LAC | 16 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA | 17 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
21.511 books, no line disagreementMGM · HR · FAN · FL · DK · ESPN · BB · PX2 · BR · PP · UD
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 22.5 to 21.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | 16 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SF | 25 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LA | 17 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs JAX | 22 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | @ KC | 17 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs LAC | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ KC | 26 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs JAX | 28 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs GB | 23 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ LV | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ WAS | 29 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs KC | 24 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | vs LV | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ HOU | 18 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs DAL | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NYG | 27 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NYJ | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ PHI | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | vs CIN | 29 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ LAC | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ IND | 22 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TEN | 25 | over |