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Brock Bowers
LV vs LA · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 70.5 at ESPN Bet ·
47Signal · under 70.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 10.8 a game recently
- vs LA · ×0.88 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 83.9 yds against 70.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 70.5 · Nov 17, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -45 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | DAL | 72 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | CLE | 55 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LAC | 63 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | DEN | 46 under | −24.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | PHI | 28 under | −42.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | HOU | 33 under | −37.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 116 over | +45.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 86 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 110 over | +39.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 70 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 73.5
- betPARX 70.5
- BetRivers 70.5
- DraftKings 70.5
- FanDuel 70.5
- ESPN Bet 70.5
- Hard Rock Bet 70.5
- Bally Bet 70.5
- Fliff 70.5
- BetMGM 73.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 73.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 69.5 to 70.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 75.5 to 73.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 70 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 110 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 86 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 116 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ HOU | 33 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ PHI | 28 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs DEN | 46 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ LAC | 63 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs CLE | 55 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | vs DAL | 72 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | @ DEN | 31 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 127 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 46 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 38 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 38 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 103 | over |