← NFL board
Bryce Young
CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 21.5 at betPARX ·
51Signal · over 21.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 40.2 a game recently
Expected completions: 24.2 against 21.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -7.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 15 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 15 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 21 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 14 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 24 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 23 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 23 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 26 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 29 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 20 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
21.59 books, no line disagreementHR · DK · FAN · FL · PX2 · BR · BB · PP · UD
Line movement
- UnderdogMoved from 22.5 to 21.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 29 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 26 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 23 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 23 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 24 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 17 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 11 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 18 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 16 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 35 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 18 | under |