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Bryce Young
CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 21.5 at BetRivers ·
51Signal · over 21.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 40.2 a game recently
Expected completions: 24.2 against 21.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -7.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 15 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 15 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 21 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 14 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 24 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 23 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 23 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 26 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 29 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 20 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
21.59 books, no line disagreementHR · DK · FAN · FL · PX2 · BR · BB · PP · UD
Line movement
- UnderdogMoved from 22.5 to 21.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 29 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 26 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 23 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 23 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 24 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 17 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 11 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 18 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 16 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 35 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 18 | under |