← NFL board5 straight over
Bryce Young
CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETPass Attempts · 35.5 at BetMGM · median 34.5 ·
51Signal · over 35.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 40.2 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 40.2 against 35.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 35.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -15.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 20 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 24 under | −11.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 32 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 24 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 35 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 37 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 36 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 48 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 41 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 39 over | +3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -1.9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
8 books · 1 spread
- DraftKings 34.5
- Hard Rock Bet 34.5
- betPARX 34.5
- Fliff 34.5
- Bally Bet 34.5
- Underdog 34.5
- PrizePicks 35
- BetMGM 35.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 35.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 39 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 41 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 48 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 36 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 37 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 35 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 24 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 32 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 24 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 29 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 45 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 25 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 20 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 25 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 25 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 24 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 55 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 35 | under |