Bryce Young

CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 9.5 at PrizePicks · median 10.5 ·

65Signal · over 9.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

5 / 10

4 straight under

How the formula reads this game

carries: 1.8 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 5.0 yds against 9.5 · over 35%, under 65%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 9.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -10

Each game against 9.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-30	LA	23 over	+13.5
2025-12-14	NO	49 over	+39.5
2025-12-21	TB	20 over	+10.5
2025-12-28	SEA	27 over	+17.5
2026-01-03	TB	-1 under	−10.5
2026-09-13	CHI	10 over	+0.5
2026-09-20	ATL	6 under	−3.5
2026-09-27	CLE	0 under	−9.5
2026-10-04	DET	3 under	−6.5
2026-10-18	PHI	6 under	−3.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	+5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

5 books · 2 yds spread

Line movement

PrizePicksMoved from 10.5 to 9.5

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 9.5
2026-10-18	@ PHI	6	under
2026-10-04	vs DET	3	under
2026-09-27	@ CLE	0	under
2026-09-20	@ ATL	6	under
2026-09-13	vs CHI	10	over
2026-01-03	@ TB	-1	under
2025-12-28	vs SEA	27	over
2025-12-21	vs TB	20	over
2025-12-14	@ NO	49	over
2025-11-30	vs LA	23	over
2025-11-24	@ SF	15	over
2025-11-16	@ ATL	-1	under
2025-11-09	vs NO	6	under
2025-11-02	@ GB	9	under
2025-10-19	@ NYJ	10	over
2025-10-12	vs DAL	5	under
2025-10-05	vs MIA	1	under
2025-09-28	@ NE	3	under
2025-09-21	vs ATL	8	under
2025-09-14	@ ARI	2	under
2025-09-07	@ JAX	40	over