C.J. Stroud

HOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 33.5 · median of 7 books ·

51Signal · under 33.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

5 / 10

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 36.5 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 36.5 against 33.5 · over 49%, under 51%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 33.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -10.5

Each game against 33.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	ARI	29 under	−4.5
2025-12-21	LV	35 over	+1.5
2025-12-27	LAC	28 under	−5.5
2026-01-04	IND	23 under	−10.5
2026-09-13	BUF	38 over	+4.5
2026-09-20	CIN	55 over	+21.5
2026-09-27	IND	27 under	−6.5
2026-10-04	DAL	31 under	−2.5
2026-10-11	TEN	34 over	+0.5
2026-10-18	JAX	34 over	+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	-0.1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

33.57 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BB · HR · DK · FAN · FL · PP

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 33.5
2026-10-18	@ JAX	34	over
2026-10-11	@ TEN	34	over
2026-10-04	vs DAL	31	under
2026-09-27	@ IND	27	under
2026-09-20	vs CIN	55	over
2026-09-13	vs BUF	38	over
2026-01-04	vs IND	23	under
2025-12-27	@ LAC	28	under
2025-12-21	vs LV	35	over
2025-12-14	vs ARI	29	under
2025-12-07	@ KC	31	under
2025-11-30	@ IND	35	over
2025-11-02	vs DEN	10	under
2025-10-26	vs SF	39	over
2025-10-20	@ SEA	49	over
2025-10-05	@ BAL	27	under
2025-09-28	vs TEN	28	under
2025-09-21	@ JAX	38	over
2025-09-15	vs TB	24	under
2025-09-07	@ LA	27	under