Cam Skattebo

NYG @ HOU · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 31.5 at DraftKings · median 30.5 ·

53Signal · over 31.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

9 / 10

5 straight over

How the formula reads this game

carries: 16.2 a game recently
vs HOU · ×0.95 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 55.7 yds against 31.5 · over 53%, under 47%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 31.5 · Sep 28, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -19

Each game against 31.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-09-28	LAC	79 over	+47.5
2025-10-05	NO	59 over	+27.5
2025-10-09	PHI	98 over	+66.5
2025-10-19	DEN	60 over	+28.5
2025-10-26	PHI	12 under	−19.5
2026-09-13	DAL	81 over	+49.5
2026-09-21	LA	36 over	+4.5
2026-09-27	TEN	60 over	+28.5
2026-10-04	ARI	58 over	+26.5
2026-10-11	WAS	59 over	+27.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	9 / 10	90% over	+29
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 29.5

Line movement

Bally BetMoved from 29.5 to 30.5
betPARXMoved from 29.5 to 30.5
BetRiversMoved from 29.5 to 30.5

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 31.5
2026-10-11	@ WAS	59	over
2026-10-04	vs ARI	58	over
2026-09-27	vs TEN	60	over
2026-09-21	@ LA	36	over
2026-09-13	vs DAL	81	over
2025-10-26	@ PHI	12	under
2025-10-19	@ DEN	60	over
2025-10-09	vs PHI	98	over
2025-10-05	@ NO	59	over
2025-09-28	vs LAC	79	over
2025-09-21	vs KC	60	over
2025-09-14	@ DAL	45	over
2025-09-07	@ WAS	-3	under