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Carson Wentz

MIN vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Interceptions Thrown · 0.5 · median of 8 books ·

54Signal · under 0.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 27.4 a game recently

Expected interceptions thrown: 0.6 against 0.5 · over 46%, under 54%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026

Worst miss -1.5 on the under
0.5No resultNo resultNo result2025-09-21 vs CIN: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50CIN2025-09-28 at PIT: 2, over 0.5 by 1.52PIT2025-10-05 at CLE: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50CLE2025-10-19 vs PHI: 2, over 0.5 by 1.52PHI2025-10-23 at LAC: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51LAC2026-09-13 vs GB: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50GB2026-09-20 at CHI: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50CHI
Each game against 0.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-09-21CIN0 under−0.5
2025-09-28PIT2 over+1.5
2025-10-05CLE0 under−0.5
2025-10-19PHI2 over+1.5
2025-10-23LAC1 over+0.5
2026-09-13GB0 under−0.5
2026-09-20CHI0 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 104 / 757% under-0.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.58 books, no line disagreementDK · ESPN · HR · PX2 · BR · BB · FL · PP

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 0.5
2026-09-20@ CHI0under
2026-09-13vs GB0under
2025-10-23@ LAC1over
2025-10-19vs PHI2over
2025-10-05@ CLE0under
2025-09-28@ PIT2over
2025-09-21vs CIN0under