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Chuba Hubbard
CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 15.5 at DK Pick6 ·
70%under7 / 10 · last 10
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.6 a game recently
- vs TB · ×1.09 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 18.5 yds against 15.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 15.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -25 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 41 over | +25.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 9 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 7 under | −8.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 6 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 7 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 38 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 11 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 28 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 7 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 1 under | −14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 17.5
- betPARX 13.5
- BetRivers 13.5
- Bally Bet 13.5
- BetMGM 14.5
- Fliff 15.5
- DraftKings 15.5
- DK Pick6 15.5
- PrizePicks 15.5
- Hard Rock Bet 16.5
- FanDuel 16.5
- ESPN Bet 17.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 12.5 to 14.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 12.5 to 15.5
- FliffMoved from 13.5 to 15.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 14.5 to 15.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 13.5 to 15.5
- FanDuelMoved from 14.5 to 16.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 13.5 to 16.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 12.5 to 17.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 28 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 38 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 9 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 41 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 20 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 32 | over |