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Dalton Schultz
HOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at Fliff ·
51Signal · over 3.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
Fliff 3.5 +100 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.2 a game recently
Expected receptions: 4.7 against 3.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | ARI | 8 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LV | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | LAC | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | IND | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BUF | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CIN | 12 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | IND | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DAL | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | TEN | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | JAX | 4 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +1.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.5Fliff+100· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ JAX | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ TEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ IND | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CIN | 12 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BUF | 4 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-27 | @ LAC | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LV | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs ARI | 8 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ KC | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ IND | 7 | over |
| 2025-11-20 | vs BUF | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ TEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs JAX | 7 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs DEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs SF | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | @ SEA | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BAL | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs TEN | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ JAX | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | vs TB | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ LA | 3 | under |