Dameon Pierce

PHI vs DAL · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 15.5 at PrizePicks ·

52Signal · under 15.560% · 3 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 5

How the formula reads this game

carries: 8.6 a game recently
vs DAL · ×1.02 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 19.5 yds against 15.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 15.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -19 on the under

Each game against 15.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2025-09-07	LA	5 under	−10.5
2025-10-05	BAL	21 over	+5.5
2026-01-04	LV	10 under	−5.5
2026-10-11	JAX	14 under	−1.5
2026-10-18	CAR	35 over	+19.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	3 / 5	60% under	-1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 15.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 15.5
2026-10-18	vs CAR	35	over
2026-10-11	@ JAX	14	under
2026-01-04	@ LV	10	under
2025-10-05	@ BAL	21	over
2025-09-07	@ LA	5	under