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Darnell Washington
PIT @ NO · Sun 9:30 AM ETReceiving Yards · 25.5 at DraftKings · median 24.5 ·
55Signal · under 25.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.7 a game recently
Expected receiving yards: 26.0 yds against 25.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 25.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -41 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | BAL | 12 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-12-15 | MIA | 25 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 36 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 15 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 18 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 7 under | −18.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 67 over | +41.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 27 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 12 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 25 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
7 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 25.5
- BetMGM 22.5
- FanDuel 24.5
- Hard Rock Bet 24.5
- Fliff 24.5
- PrizePicks 24.5
- Underdog 24.5
- DraftKings 25.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 25.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 25 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 27 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 67 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 15 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 36 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 25 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 12 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 45 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CHI | 22 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 67 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 43 | over |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 62 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 20 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 0 | under |