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Darnell Washington
PIT @ NO · Sun 9:30 AM ETReceptions · 2.5 at Fliff ·
54Signal · under 2.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.7 a game recently
Expected receptions: 2.5 against 2.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | BAL | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-15 | MIA | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 4 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.55 books, no line disagreementFD · MGM · FL · HR · DK
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 0 | under |