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Davis Allen
LA vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 15.5 ·
58Signal · over 15.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
PrizePicks 15.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.0 a game recently
- vs LAC · ×1.06 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 12.6 yds against 15.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 15.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -15| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 16 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 34 over | +18.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 0 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 13 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG | 7 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DEN | 19 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 0 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 24 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 0 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LV | 20 over | +4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
15.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ LV | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DEN | 19 | over |
| 2026-09-21 | vs NYG | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 13 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 34 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 16 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 21 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 29 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 8 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 37 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 4 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 7 | under |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 8 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 13 | under |