← NFL board3 straight under
Deion Burks
IND vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 17.5 at betPARX ·
65Signal · under 17.586% · 6 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 7Cleared the number in 1 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.3 a game recently
- vs MIA · ×1.04 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 8.9 yds against 17.5 · over 35%, under 65%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 17.5 · Sep 20, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -23 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 0 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS | 6 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PIT | 0 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TEN | 41 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN | 11 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | JAX | 2 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | DAL | 0 under | −17.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 7 | 86% under | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 86% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
12 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 18.5
- Dabble 16.5
- FanDuel 17.5
- BetMGM 17.5
- DraftKings 17.5
- Hard Rock Bet 17.5
- Bally Bet 17.5
- betPARX 17.5
- BetRivers 17.5
- DK Pick6 17.5
- PrizePicks 17.5
- Underdog 17.5
- Fliff 18.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | @ JAX | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ MIN | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs TEN | 41 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ WAS | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 0 | under |