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Deion Burks

IND vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 1.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

60Signal · under 1.586% · 6 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 7Cleared the number in 1 of 7 games, 3 without a result
3 straight under

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 1.3 a game recently

Expected receptions: 0.9 against 1.5 · over 40%, under 60%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 20, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -0.5 on the under
1.5No resultNo resultNo result2026-09-20 at KC: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50KC2026-10-04 at WAS: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51WAS2026-10-11 at PIT: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50PIT2026-10-18 vs TEN: 2, over 1.5 by 0.52TEN2026-10-25 at MIN: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51MIN2026-11-01 at JAX: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51JAX2026-11-08 vs DAL: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51DAL
Each game against 1.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2026-09-20KC0 under−1.5
2026-10-04WAS1 under−0.5
2026-10-11PIT0 under−1.5
2026-10-18TEN2 over+0.5
2026-10-25MIN1 under−0.5
2026-11-01JAX1 under−0.5
2026-11-08DAL1 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 786% under+0.6
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 86% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

8 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 2.5
  • Bally Bet 1.5
  • betPARX 1.5
  • BetRivers 1.5
  • BetMGM 1.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 1.5
  • DraftKings 1.5
  • Fliff 1.5
  • FanDuel 2.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 1.5
2026-11-08vs DAL1under
2026-11-01@ JAX1under
2026-10-25@ MIN1under
2026-10-18vs TEN2over
2026-10-11@ PIT0under
2026-10-04@ WAS1under
2026-09-20@ KC0under