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Denzel Boston
CLE @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 50.5 at FanDuel · median 49.5 ·
54Signal · under 50.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.0 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 52.8 yds against 50.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 50.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -44 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 59 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 95 over | +44.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 41 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 89 over | +38.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 46 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 15 under | −35.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TEN | 27 under | −23.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | -3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
12 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 50.5
- BetMGM 47.5
- betPARX 48.5
- BetRivers 48.5
- Bally Bet 48.5
- DraftKings 49.5
- Fliff 49.5
- ESPN Bet 49.5
- DK Pick6 49.5
- PrizePicks 49.5
- Underdog 49.5
- FanDuel 50.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 50.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 48.5 to 49.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 34.5 to 49.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 49.5 to 50.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 50.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ TEN | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 46 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 89 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 41 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 95 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 59 | over |