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Denzel Boston
CLE @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 49.5 at Underdog ·
54Signal · under 49.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.0 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 52.8 yds against 49.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 49.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -45 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 59 over | +9.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 95 over | +45.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 41 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 89 over | +39.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 46 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 15 under | −34.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TEN | 27 under | −22.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | -4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
12 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 50.5
- BetMGM 47.5
- betPARX 48.5
- BetRivers 48.5
- Bally Bet 48.5
- DraftKings 49.5
- Fliff 49.5
- ESPN Bet 49.5
- DK Pick6 49.5
- PrizePicks 49.5
- Underdog 49.5
- FanDuel 50.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 50.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 48.5 to 49.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 34.5 to 49.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 49.5 to 50.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 49.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ TEN | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 46 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 89 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 41 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 95 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 59 | over |