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Devaughn Vele
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETReceiving Yards · 41.5 at FanDuel ·
47Signal · over 41.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 7.2 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 48.7 yds against 41.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 41.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -15| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | ATL | 37 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIA | 93 over | +51.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TB | 40 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR | 69 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | 69 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 64 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 39 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 54 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 26 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 42 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +12 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 39.5
- ESPN Bet 39.5 -120 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 40.5 -112
- Fanatics 40.5 -115
- betPARX 41.5 -112
- BetRivers 41.5 -113
- FanDuel 41.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 41.5 -115
- Bally Bet 41.5 -117
- Fliff 41.5 -120
- PrizePicks 41.5
- BetMGM 43.5 -115
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 41.5 to 40.5
- Bally BetMoved from 42.5 to 41.5
- betPARXMoved from 42.5 to 41.5
- BetRiversMoved from 42.5 to 41.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 44.5 to 41.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 41.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 42 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 26 | under |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 54 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 39 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 64 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | 69 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CAR | 69 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ TB | 40 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ MIA | 93 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs ATL | 37 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CAR | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TB | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs NYG | 13 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SF | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs ARI | 13 | under |