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Devin Singletary

NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 14.5 at Fliff ·

55Signal · under 14.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 2.3 a game recently → 2.6 this game
  • RB2 on the depth chart (usually RB3) · ×1.15 targets

Expected receiving yards: 15.8 yds against 14.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 14.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -19 on the under
14.52025-11-23 at DET: 0, under 14.5 by 14.5 yds0DET2025-12-01 at NE: 34, over 14.5 by 19.5 yds34NE2025-12-14 vs WAS: 1, under 14.5 by 13.5 yds1WAS2025-12-21 vs MIN: -1, under 14.5 by 15.5 yds-1MIN2025-12-28 at LV: 25, over 14.5 by 10.5 yds25LV2026-01-04 vs DAL: 0, under 14.5 by 14.5 yds0DAL2026-09-13 vs DAL: 22, over 14.5 by 7.5 yds22DAL2026-09-21 at LA: 0, under 14.5 by 14.5 yds0LA2026-10-18 vs NO: 19, over 14.5 by 4.5 yds19NO2026-10-25 at HOU: 14, under 14.5 by 0.5 yds14HOU
Each game against 14.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-23DET0 under−14.5
2025-12-01NE34 over+19.5
2025-12-14WAS1 under−13.5
2025-12-21MIN-1 under−15.5
2025-12-28LV25 over+10.5
2026-01-04DAL0 under−14.5
2026-09-13DAL22 over+7.5
2026-09-21LA0 under−14.5
2026-10-18NO19 over+4.5
2026-10-25HOU14 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under+3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

11 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 14.5
  • BetMGM 13.5
  • DraftKings 13.5
  • ESPN Bet 14.5 (easiest number)
  • betPARX 14.5 (easiest number)
  • BetRivers 14.5 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 14.5 (easiest number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 14.5 (easiest number)
  • Bally Bet 14.5 (easiest number)
  • Fliff 14.5 (easiest number)
  • PrizePicks 14.5 (easiest number)
  • Underdog 14.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 14.5
2026-10-25@ HOU14under
2026-10-18vs NO19over
2026-09-21@ LA0under
2026-09-13vs DAL22over
2026-01-04vs DAL0under
2025-12-28@ LV25over
2025-12-21vs MIN-1under
2025-12-14vs WAS1under
2025-12-01@ NE34over
2025-11-23@ DET0under
2025-11-16vs GB3under
2025-11-09@ CHI53over
2025-11-02vs SF8under
2025-10-26@ PHI28over
2025-10-19@ DEN0under
2025-10-09vs PHI0under
2025-10-05@ NO4under
2025-09-28vs LAC0under
2025-09-21vs KC0under
2025-09-14@ DAL-4under
2025-09-07@ WAS0under