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Drake Maye

NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 31.5 at DraftKings ·

50%even5 / 10 · last 10
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
3 straight over

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 30.5 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 30.5 against 31.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 31.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -13.5
31.52025-12-14 vs BUF: 23, under 31.5 by 8.523BUF2025-12-21 at BAL: 44, over 31.5 by 12.544BAL2025-12-28 at NYJ: 21, under 31.5 by 10.521NYJ2026-01-04 vs MIA: 18, under 31.5 by 13.518MIA2026-09-09 at SEA: 33, over 31.5 by 1.533SEA2026-09-20 vs PIT: 22, under 31.5 by 9.522PIT2026-09-27 at JAX: 25, under 31.5 by 6.525JAX2026-10-04 at BUF: 37, over 31.5 by 5.537BUF2026-10-11 vs LV: 34, over 31.5 by 2.534LV2026-10-18 vs NYJ: 32, over 31.5 by 0.532NYJ
Each game against 31.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14BUF23 under−8.5
2025-12-21BAL44 over+12.5
2025-12-28NYJ21 under−10.5
2026-01-04MIA18 under−13.5
2026-09-09SEA33 over+1.5
2026-09-20PIT22 under−9.5
2026-09-27JAX25 under−6.5
2026-10-04BUF37 over+5.5
2026-10-11LV34 over+2.5
2026-10-18NYJ32 over+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%-2.6
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

9 books · 1 spread
  • betPARX 31.5
  • DraftKings 31.5
  • ESPN Bet 31.5
  • Bally Bet 31.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 31.5
  • Fliff 31.5
  • PrizePicks 31.5
  • Underdog 31.5
  • BetMGM 32.5

Line movement

  • Hard Rock BetMoved from 30.5 to 31.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 31.5
2026-10-18vs NYJ32over
2026-10-11vs LV34over
2026-10-04@ BUF37over
2026-09-27@ JAX25under
2026-09-20vs PIT22under
2026-09-09@ SEA33over
2026-01-04vs MIA18under
2025-12-28@ NYJ21under
2025-12-21@ BAL44over
2025-12-14vs BUF23under
2025-12-01vs NYG31under
2025-11-23@ CIN35over
2025-11-13vs NYJ34over
2025-11-09@ TB31under
2025-11-02vs ATL29under
2025-10-26vs CLE24under
2025-10-19@ TEN23under
2025-10-12@ NO26under
2025-10-05@ BUF30under
2025-09-28vs CAR17under
2025-09-21vs PIT37over
2025-09-14@ MIA23under
2025-09-07vs LV46over