Drake Maye

NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 31.5 at Underdog ·

50%even5 / 10 · last 10

5 / 10

3 straight over

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 30.5 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 30.5 against 31.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 31.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -13.5

Each game against 31.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	BUF	23 under	−8.5
2025-12-21	BAL	44 over	+12.5
2025-12-28	NYJ	21 under	−10.5
2026-01-04	MIA	18 under	−13.5
2026-09-09	SEA	33 over	+1.5
2026-09-20	PIT	22 under	−9.5
2026-09-27	JAX	25 under	−6.5
2026-10-04	BUF	37 over	+5.5
2026-10-11	LV	34 over	+2.5
2026-10-18	NYJ	32 over	+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	-2.6
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

9 books · 1 spread

Line movement

Hard Rock BetMoved from 30.5 to 31.5

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 31.5
2026-10-18	vs NYJ	32	over
2026-10-11	vs LV	34	over
2026-10-04	@ BUF	37	over
2026-09-27	@ JAX	25	under
2026-09-20	vs PIT	22	under
2026-09-09	@ SEA	33	over
2026-01-04	vs MIA	18	under
2025-12-28	@ NYJ	21	under
2025-12-21	@ BAL	44	over
2025-12-14	vs BUF	23	under
2025-12-01	vs NYG	31	under
2025-11-23	@ CIN	35	over
2025-11-13	vs NYJ	34	over
2025-11-09	@ TB	31	under
2025-11-02	vs ATL	29	under
2025-10-26	vs CLE	24	under
2025-10-19	@ TEN	23	under
2025-10-12	@ NO	26	under
2025-10-05	@ BUF	30	under
2025-09-28	vs CAR	17	under
2025-09-21	vs PIT	37	over
2025-09-14	@ MIA	23	under
2025-09-07	vs LV	46	over