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Drake Maye
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETPassing Yards · 248.5 at Fliff ·
60%under6 / 10 · last 10
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 30.5 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 243.8 yds against 248.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 248.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -131 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 155 under | −93.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 380 over | +131.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 256 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 191 under | −57.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 178 under | −70.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 208 under | −40.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 199 under | −49.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 269 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 374 over | +125.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 235 under | −13.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 5 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 252.5
- FanDuel 247.5
- BetMGM 247.5
- Bally Bet 248.5
- betPARX 248.5
- BetRivers 248.5
- Fliff 248.5
- DraftKings 249.5
- ESPN Bet 249.5
- DK Pick6 249.5
- PrizePicks 249.5
- Hard Rock Bet 252.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 239.5 to 247.5
- Bally BetMoved from 245.5 to 248.5
- betPARXMoved from 245.5 to 248.5
- BetRiversMoved from 245.5 to 248.5
- FliffMoved from 249.5 to 248.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 237.5 to 249.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 244.5 to 249.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 236.5 to 249.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 236.5 to 252.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 248.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 235 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 374 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 269 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 199 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 208 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 178 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 191 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 256 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 380 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 155 | under |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 282 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 294 | over |
| 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | 281 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ TB | 270 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | 259 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 282 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 222 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 261 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 273 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 203 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 268 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 230 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 287 | over |