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Foster Moreau
HOU @ LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 7.5 at BetRivers · median 8.5 ·
51Signal · over 7.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
- vs LAC · ×1.05 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 12.6 yds against 7.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -7| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | ATL | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIA | 13 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TB | 16 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYJ | 5 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BUF | 15 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CIN | 34 over | +26.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | IND | 7 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DAL | 1 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | TEN | 8 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | JAX | 7 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spread
- BetMGM 7.5
- Bally Bet 7.5
- betPARX 7.5
- BetRivers 7.5
- FanDuel 8.5
- Hard Rock Bet 8.5
- Fliff 8.5
- PrizePicks 8.5
- Underdog 8.5
- DraftKings 9.5
- DK Pick6 9.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 7.5 to 8.5
- UnderdogMoved from 7.5 to 8.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ JAX | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ TEN | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ IND | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CIN | 34 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BUF | 15 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NYJ | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ TB | 16 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ MIA | 13 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CAR | 16 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs NE | 9 | over |