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Gunnar Helm
TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 14.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
58Signal · under 14.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.6 a game recently
- vs CLE · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 11.9 yds against 14.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 14.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -34 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | JAX | 23 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CLE | 8 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | SF | 49 over | +34.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | KC | 9 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NO | 1 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 28 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 13 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 14 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | 5 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 0 under | −14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
6 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 15.5
- FanDuel 14.5
- Hard Rock Bet 14.5
- Fliff 14.5
- PrizePicks 14.5
- Underdog 14.5
- DraftKings 15.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 13 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 28 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs KC | 9 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SF | 49 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ CLE | 8 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs JAX | 23 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs SEA | 51 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs HOU | 29 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs LAC | 15 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | 23 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | 36 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | 15 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | 34 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ HOU | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs IND | 27 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs LA | 9 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ DEN | 16 | over |