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Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
56Signal · over 3.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.2 against 3.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 8 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PIT | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 1 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.510 books, no line disagreementBB · PX2 · BR · FD · MGM · HR · DK · ESPN · FL · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 7 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PIT | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 7 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 8 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ NYJ | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NE | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs MIA | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ PIT | 7 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIN | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DET | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs GB | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ BAL | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs CIN | 7 | over |