← NFL board3 straight over
Jadarian Price
SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:20 PM ETReceiving Yards · 4.5 at PrizePicks ·
48Signal · over 4.5100% · 3 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 3Cleared the number in 3 of 3 games, 7 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
Expected receiving yards: 7.0 yds against 4.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 4.5 · Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026
Tightest clearance +2| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 6 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 8 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | WAS | 7 over | +2.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 3 | 100% over | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
4.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | @ WAS | 7 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 8 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 6 | over |