← NFL board
Jadarian Price
SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:20 PM ETRushing Yards · 29.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
49Signal · over 29.567% · 2 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 3Cleared the number in 2 of 3 games, 7 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 9.3 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×1.01 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 40.2 yds against 29.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 29.5 · Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026
Worst miss -14| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 52 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 52 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | WAS | 15 under | −14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 2 / 3 | 67% over | +10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 28.5 · best price FD -114
- FanDuel 28.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Fliff 28.5 -125 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 29.5 -110
- DraftKings 29.5 -114
- ESPN Bet 29.5 -115
- BetMGM 29.5 -120
- PrizePicks 29.5
- Underdog 29.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | @ WAS | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 52 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 52 | over |