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Jakobi Meyers
JAX vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 40.5 at PrizePicks · median 39.5 ·
52Signal · over 40.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.7 a game recently
- vs IND · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 48.2 yds against 40.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 40.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -12| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | NYJ | 71 over | +30.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DEN | 45 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | IND | 39 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | TEN | 44 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE | 40 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN | 28 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NE | 64 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN | 33 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PHI | 37 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | HOU | 83 over | +42.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2 books · 1 yds spread
- Underdog 39.5
- PrizePicks 40.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 40.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs HOU | 83 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs PHI | 37 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CIN | 33 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NE | 64 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ DEN | 28 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | 40 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs TEN | 44 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ IND | 39 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DEN | 45 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs NYJ | 71 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs IND | 39 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TEN | 90 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ ARI | 50 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs LAC | 64 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ HOU | 41 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 23 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 39 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 32 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 63 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 68 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 97 | over |