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Jakobi Meyers
JAX vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at Underdog ·
46Signal · over 3.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.7 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.3 against 3.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | NYJ | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DEN | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | IND | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | TEN | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NE | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PHI | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | HOU | 5 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
3.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs HOU | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs PHI | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NE | 7 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ DEN | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs TEN | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ IND | 6 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DEN | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs NYJ | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ ARI | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs LAC | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ HOU | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 8 | over |