← NFL board

Jalen Coker

CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 5.5 at DraftKings ·

48Signal · under 5.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 8.8 a game recently

Expected receptions: 6.0 against 5.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 5.5 · Nov 24, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -2.5 on the under
5.52025-11-24 at SF: 3, under 5.5 by 2.53SF2025-11-30 vs LA: 4, under 5.5 by 1.54LA2025-12-14 at NO: 4, under 5.5 by 1.54NO2025-12-21 vs TB: 3, under 5.5 by 2.53TB2025-12-28 vs SEA: 2, under 5.5 by 3.52SEA2026-01-03 at TB: 6, over 5.5 by 0.56TB2026-09-13 vs CHI: 8, over 5.5 by 2.58CHI2026-09-20 at ATL: 8, over 5.5 by 2.58ATL2026-09-27 at CLE: 2, under 5.5 by 3.52CLE2026-10-18 at PHI: 6, over 5.5 by 0.56PHI
Each game against 5.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-24SF3 under−2.5
2025-11-30LA4 under−1.5
2025-12-14NO4 under−1.5
2025-12-21TB3 under−2.5
2025-12-28SEA2 under−3.5
2026-01-03TB6 over+0.5
2026-09-13CHI8 over+2.5
2026-09-20ATL8 over+2.5
2026-09-27CLE2 under−3.5
2026-10-18PHI6 over+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under+0.9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

5.511 books, no line disagreementDK · ESPN · HR · FD · FL · PX2 · BR · MGM · BB · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 5.5
2026-10-18@ PHI6over
2026-09-27@ CLE2under
2026-09-20@ ATL8over
2026-09-13vs CHI8over
2026-01-03@ TB6over
2025-12-28vs SEA2under
2025-12-21vs TB3under
2025-12-14@ NO4under
2025-11-30vs LA4under
2025-11-24@ SF3under
2025-11-16@ ATL4under
2025-11-09vs NO3under
2025-11-02@ GB1under
2025-10-26vs BUF3under
2025-10-19@ NYJ0under