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Jalen Nailor
LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at FanDuel ·
54Signal · over 1.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.0 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.6 against 1.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | WAS | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DAL | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYG | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | DET | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | GB | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LA | 2 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.57 books, no line disagreementESPN · HR · DK · FD · PX2 · BR · BB
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 3 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs GB | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DAL | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ SEA | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BAL | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ DET | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | @ LAC | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs PHI | 2 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CLE | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ PIT | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs CIN | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs ATL | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-08 | @ CHI | 1 | under |