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Jameson Williams
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 54.5 · median of 10 books ·
55Signal · over 54.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.8 a game recently
- vs GB · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 54.5 yds against 54.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 54.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -21| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 96 over | +41.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 134 over | +79.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 70 over | +15.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 37 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 74 over | +19.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 45 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 33 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 49 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 102 over | +47.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 47 under | −7.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +14 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
10 books · 3 yds spread
- BetMGM 51.5
- ESPN Bet 51.5
- DraftKings 54.5
- betPARX 54.5
- BetRivers 54.5
- FanDuel 54.5
- Hard Rock Bet 54.5
- Bally Bet 54.5
- Fliff 54.5
- PrizePicks 54.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 53.5 to 54.5
- FliffMoved from 53.5 to 54.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 54.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 47 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 102 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 49 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 33 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 45 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 74 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 37 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 70 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 134 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 96 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 144 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 88 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 119 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 66 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 66 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 9 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 40 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 43 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 108 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 23 | under |