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Jameson Williams
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 · median of 9 books ·
47Signal · over 3.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.8 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.6 against 3.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 2 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.59 books, no line disagreementFD · MGM · ESPN · FL · HR · DK · PX2 · BR · BB· best price at 3.5: FD -138
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 4 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 6 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 7 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 7 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 7 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 4 | over |