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Jauan Jennings
MIN @ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 14.5 at BetMGM · median 13.5 ·
62Signal · over 14.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.6 a game recently
Expected receiving yards: 8.6 yds against 14.5 · over 38%, under 62%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 14.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -14| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | CLE | 39 over | +24.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | TEN | 37 over | +22.5 |
| 2025-12-22 | IND | 71 over | +56.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CHI | 42 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SEA | 35 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | GB | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | TB | 1 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIA | 8 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NO | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | IND | 34 over | +19.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +12 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 12.5
- FanDuel 12.5 -114 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 13.5 -105
- DraftKings 13.5 -107
- Hard Rock Bet 13.5 -110
- DK Pick6 13.5
- betPARX 14.5 -112
- BetRivers 14.5 -113
- BetMGM 14.5 -115
- Bally Bet 14.5 -117
- PrizePicks 14.5
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 13.5 to 12.5
- BetMGMMoved from 13.5 to 14.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 13.5 to 14.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs IND | 34 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NO | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs MIA | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ TB | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | vs SEA | 35 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs CHI | 42 | over |
| 2025-12-22 | @ IND | 71 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs TEN | 37 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CLE | 39 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | vs CAR | 41 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ARI | 54 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs LA | 71 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ NYG | 41 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ HOU | 45 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs ATL | 31 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ TB | 7 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs JAX | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ NO | 89 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ SEA | 16 | over |