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Javonte Williams
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 12.5 at betPARX ·
47Signal · under 12.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.7 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 17.5 yds against 12.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 12.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -18 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DET | 0 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 0 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 9 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 0 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 31 over | +18.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 20 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 5 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 21 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 17 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 9 under | −3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 12.5
- Fanatics 10.5
- betPARX 12.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 12.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 12.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 12.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 12.5 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 12.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 12.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 12.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 12.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 12.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 14.5 to 12.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 12.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 17 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 21 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 20 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 31 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 9 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 21 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 14 | over |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 8 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs WAS | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 15 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 16 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 33 | over |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 10 | under |