Jaylen Waddle
DEN vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionableReceiving Yards · 38.5 at PrizePicks ·
Listed questionable with a chest injury on the week 8 report, limited in practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Nov 1, 11:31 AM ET.
- RJ Harvey RB is listed Out (knee). He had 17% of DEN's targets this season, 4.7 a game over 6.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.4 a game recently → 5.8 this game
- Questionable · ×0.91 targets
- vs KC · ×0.97 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 35.4 yds against 38.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 38.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -99 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | PIT | 26 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CIN | 72 over | +33.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TB | 0 under | −38.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | KC | 2 under | −36.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | JAX | 138 over | +99.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA | 10 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SF | 35 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LAC | 19 under | −19.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA | 24 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI | 48 over | +9.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
- FanDuel 37.5
- Hard Rock Bet 37.5
- Fliff 37.5
- DraftKings 38.5
- DK Pick6 38.5
- PrizePicks 38.5
- BetMGM 39.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 38.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ ARI | 48 | over |
| 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | 24 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SF | 35 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LA | 10 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs JAX | 138 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | @ KC | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs CIN | 72 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | @ PIT | 26 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ NYJ | 50 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs NO | 40 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs WAS | 52 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BUF | 84 | over |
| 2025-10-30 | vs BAL | 82 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ ATL | 99 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ CLE | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs LAC | 95 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CAR | 110 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | vs NYJ | 48 | over |
| 2025-09-18 | @ BUF | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NE | 68 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ IND | 30 | under |