Jaylen Waddle
DEN vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionableReceptions · 3.5 at DraftKings ·
Listed questionable with a chest injury on the week 8 report, limited in practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Nov 1, 11:31 AM ET.
- RJ Harvey RB is listed Out (knee). He had 17% of DEN's targets this season, 4.7 a game over 6.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.4 a game recently → 5.8 this game
- Questionable · ×0.91 targets
Expected receptions: 3.4 against 3.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -3.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | PIT | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CIN | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TB | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | KC | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | JAX | 8 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SF | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LAC | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | ARI | 4 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ ARI | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SF | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LA | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs JAX | 8 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | @ KC | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs CIN | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ NYJ | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs NO | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs WAS | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BUF | 5 | over |
| 2025-10-30 | vs BAL | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ ATL | 5 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ CLE | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs LAC | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CAR | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | vs NYJ | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-18 | @ BUF | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NE | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ IND | 4 | over |