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Jerry Jeudy
CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 23.5 at BetMGM · median 22.5 ·
51Signal · under 23.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.8 a game recently
- vs TEN · ×1.07 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 32.2 yds against 23.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 23.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -23| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 76 over | +52.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 22 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 12 under | −11.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PIT | 54 over | +30.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CIN | 17 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 26 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 0 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 36 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 19 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 69 over | +45.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
6 books · 1 yds spread
- DraftKings 22.5
- FanDuel 22.5
- Hard Rock Bet 22.5
- Fliff 22.5
- PrizePicks 22.5
- BetMGM 23.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 69 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 36 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 26 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CIN | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PIT | 54 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 22 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 76 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 26 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 39 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 21 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ NYJ | 78 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NE | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs MIA | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ PIT | 43 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIN | 15 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DET | 48 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs GB | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ BAL | 51 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs CIN | 66 | over |